Ciudad de Baza vs UD Fuente Vaqueros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
46.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CIU
1 - 2
ALO
18%
19%
64%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CDP
1 - 0
CIU
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
OGI
3 - 1
CIU
73%
15%
12%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CIU
2 - 0
CFC
74%
16%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CHU
3 - 1
CIU
62%
19%
19%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
UD Fuente Vaqueros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
UDF
3 - 0
CDV
49%
22%
29%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ALO
3 - 0
UDF
53%
22%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
AGU
3 - 0
UDF
76%
14%
10%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
UDF
3 - 2
CDP
46%
23%
31%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
UDF
1 - 0
MON
60%
20%
20%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |