Ciudad de Baza vs CF Sierra Nevada Cenes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
68.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
EST
3 - 0
CIU
61%
20%
19%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CIU
2 - 3
UDF
29%
24%
46%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CIU
1 - 2
ALO
18%
19%
64%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CDP
1 - 0
CIU
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
OGI
3 - 1
CIU
73%
15%
12%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CF Sierra Nevada Cenes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CFS
3 - 0
ALO
46%
20%
34%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CDP
1 - 0
CFS
40%
23%
37%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CFS
4 - 3
OGI
43%
20%
37%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
CFS
3 - 2
CDD
66%
17%
17%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CFC
2 - 5
CFS
12%
18%
70%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | +1 |