Ciudad de Baza vs Alfacar Atletico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
51.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
CDI
0 - 2
CIU
31%
21%
48%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
CIU
0 - 0
MED
54%
21%
26%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CIU
1 - 2
COL
57%
20%
23%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MON
2 - 1
CIU
51%
21%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ALB
0 - 3
CIU
15%
18%
68%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Alfacar Atletico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
ALF
1 - 3
MON
53%
22%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ZUB
1 - 2
ALF
19%
21%
61%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
ALF
3 - 2
SAL
36%
24%
40%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
AGU
2 - 5
ALF
25%
22%
53%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ALF
1 - 0
PUN
38%
22%
40%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |