Ciudad de Baza vs Alfacar Atletico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
45.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
3 - 0
CIU
40%
21%
39%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CIU
4 - 0
LOJ
59%
19%
21%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
JUV
3 - 1
CIU
76%
14%
10%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
CIU
2 - 1
RDG
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
OAT
2 - 2
CIU
27%
21%
52%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alfacar Atletico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ALF
2 - 1
ALH
50%
21%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ALF
2 - 2
CAS
57%
19%
24%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
LOJ
4 - 2
ALF
13%
17%
70%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
ALF
1 - 1
JUV
37%
21%
42%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
RDG
1 - 4
ALF
12%
17%
71%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | +1 |