Chivas USA vs Houston Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
31.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 3
SES
28%
27%
45%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
GAL
1 - 0
CHI
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
PHU
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 0
TOR
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
DCU
2 - 2
CHI
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Houston Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2011 |
HOD
0 - 1
GAL
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
KCW
0 - 2
HOD
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
HOD
1 - 0
PHU
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PHU
1 - 2
HOD
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2011 |
HOD
3 - 1
GAL
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |