Chivas USA vs Houston Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 1
KCW
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
CFS
1 - 2
CHI
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 1
NER
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2006 |
RSL
3 - 3
CHI
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2006 |
COR
3 - 3
CHI
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Houston Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
HOD
3 - 0
DAL
58%
20%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
RSL
3 - 1
HOD
37%
28%
36%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
HOD
1 - 0
DAL
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2006 |
HOD
0 - 1
GAL
48%
25%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
HOD
4 - 2
CAR
84%
11%
5%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |