CD Chilpancingo vs Zitacuaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
10º
7º
11
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 20 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 20 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 17 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Chilpancingo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
PDC
2 - 0
CDC
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 2
CDC
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 3
ZAC
28%
25%
48%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 3
AFC
81%
12%
7%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 1
PDC
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Zitacuaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ZIT
2 - 4
REB
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
EST
6 - 1
ZIT
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ZIT
0 - 1
ADG
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 3
ZIT
18%
23%
59%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ZIT
1 - 1
AFC
70%
19%
12%
|
51 | 15 | 36 | +1 |