CD Chilpancingo vs Montañeses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
41.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
10º
7º
19
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 20 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 20 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
19 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 17 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Chilpancingo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
JAG
6 - 1
CDC
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CDC
3 - 0
ZIT
37%
25%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +3 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
PDC
2 - 0
CDC
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 2
CDC
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 3
ZAC
28%
25%
48%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Montañeses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MON
3 - 0
CAS
71%
18%
12%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
AFC
0 - 4
MON
18%
21%
61%
|
53 | 21 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
RVC
56%
23%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
MIN
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ZAC
2 - 1
MON
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |