CD Chilpancingo vs Faraones Texcoco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1170%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
10º
7º
20
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 20 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 20 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 17 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Chilpancingo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
RVC
1 - 1
CDC
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
DEV
4 - 0
CDC
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CDC
3 - 2
CAS
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
AFC
1 - 2
CDC
22%
23%
55%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CDC
2 - 1
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Faraones Texcoco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
CFT
3 - 0
CAS
69%
17%
15%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
AFC
1 - 3
CFT
28%
21%
51%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
CFT
2 - 0
MON
19%
22%
59%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
JAG
2 - 0
CFT
71%
19%
10%
|
28 | 78 | 50 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CFT
1 - 0
ZIT
20%
22%
58%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | +4 |