CD Chilpancingo vs Ciervos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
4º
10º
5º
6
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 20 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 4 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Chilpancingo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 1
ALE
22%
24%
55%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ZIT
1 - 1
CDC
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CDC
0 - 1
PDC
21%
24%
56%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
CDC
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CDC
0 - 2
MAZ
22%
24%
53%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ciervos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CIE
1 - 1
CCM
37%
21%
43%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
THM
4 - 1
CIE
69%
16%
14%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CIE
2 - 1
ALE
11%
17%
72%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ZIT
2 - 0
CIE
75%
17%
8%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CIE
1 - 6
PDC
15%
22%
63%
|
33 | 63 | 30 | -1 |