CD Chilpancingo vs Cañoneros Marina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
4º
10º
5º
4
7º
10º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 20 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
4 | 4 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Chilpancingo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 1
CDC
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 1
CIE
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 1
ALE
22%
24%
55%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ZIT
1 - 1
CDC
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CDC
0 - 1
PDC
21%
24%
56%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cañoneros Marina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
THM
2 - 0
CCM
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CCM
0 - 5
CAL
13%
21%
66%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CIE
1 - 1
CCM
37%
21%
43%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ALE
10 - 0
CCM
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CCM
1 - 2
ZIT
20%
23%
57%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |