CD Chilpancingo vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
54.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
4º
10º
5º
17
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 20 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 4 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Chilpancingo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ZIT
1 - 1
CDC
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CDC
0 - 1
PDC
21%
24%
56%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
CDC
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CDC
0 - 2
MAZ
22%
24%
53%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
CAA
1 - 1
CDC
16%
22%
62%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ALE
10 - 0
CCM
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ALE
0 - 2
CAL
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 2
ALE
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ALE
1 - 0
PDC
32%
28%
41%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
PDC
1 - 2
ALE
54%
25%
22%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |