Chert vs Vilanova D'Alcolea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
9.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
VIN
3 - 1
CHE
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 0
ESP
61%
19%
21%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ALB
1 - 3
CHE
47%
23%
30%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CHE
3 - 3
CLU
79%
13%
8%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 3
TRR
19%
19%
62%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Vilanova D'Alcolea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
ATZ
3 - 1
VIL
83%
11%
6%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
VIN
7%
12%
81%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 0
VIL
54%
20%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 3
ALB
56%
20%
24%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CLU
0 - 3
VIL
28%
21%
51%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |