Chert vs Vilanova D'Alcolea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
30.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 5
VIN
57%
20%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
ESP
0 - 2
CHE
18%
21%
61%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
CHE
5 - 1
ALB
84%
10%
6%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CLU
0 - 2
CHE
13%
17%
70%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
TRR
2 - 1
CHE
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vilanova D'Alcolea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
ATZ
53%
22%
26%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
VIN
2 - 1
VIL
33%
22%
45%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 1
ESP
78%
14%
9%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
ALB
1 - 3
VIL
16%
19%
66%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 0
CLU
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | +1 |