Chert vs Vilanova D'Alcolea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
5.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TRR
3 - 2
CHE
59%
20%
21%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CHE
3 - 0
BEN
40%
22%
38%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
CHE
4 - 4
VAL
28%
21%
50%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
TIR
0 - 4
CHE
37%
22%
41%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CHE
6 - 1
ATZ
62%
19%
19%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Vilanova D'Alcolea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CIN
2 - 1
VIL
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 1
VIL
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 1
VIL
66%
18%
16%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 3
ESP
42%
22%
36%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 0
VIL
83%
11%
6%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |