Chert vs Benasal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
24.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 2
CHE
43%
23%
35%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 1
PEN
63%
18%
18%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ESP
5 - 5
CHE
18%
20%
63%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 0
ALB
42%
22%
36%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CLU
2 - 2
CHE
13%
18%
69%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Benasal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BEN
8 - 1
JAN
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
VIN
1 - 1
BEN
21%
20%
59%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BEN
5 - 3
VAL
50%
21%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
TIR
1 - 1
BEN
15%
18%
66%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
BEN
7 - 2
ATZ
53%
21%
26%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +2 |