Chert vs Cinctorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
24.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 0
CHE
66%
18%
16%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 2
TRR
35%
22%
43%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CHE
5 - 1
CLU
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 3
CHE
48%
22%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
BEN
2 - 1
CHE
43%
22%
35%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cinctorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CIN
5 - 2
ESP
30%
21%
50%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CIN
3 - 3
CAL
16%
18%
67%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
TRR
2 - 0
CIN
78%
14%
9%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
BEN
5 - 2
CIN
34%
22%
44%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
CIN
2 - 1
SAL
57%
20%
23%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |