Chert vs Calig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
TIR
0 - 4
CHE
9%
16%
76%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CHE
2 - 0
BEN
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CLU
4 - 3
CHE
18%
20%
62%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
CHE
7 - 1
CIN
90%
8%
3%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 2
CHE
8%
16%
76%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 1
ATZ
63%
20%
17%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CAL
3 - 1
ALB
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CLU
1 - 6
CAL
9%
15%
76%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CAL
4 - 1
VIN
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 0
PEN
43%
23%
35%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |