Chert vs Calig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
48.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
TIR
1 - 4
CHE
15%
18%
67%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CHE
2 - 1
BEN
54%
20%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
BOR
4 - 1
CHE
37%
23%
41%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 2
CIN
81%
12%
8%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CHE
3 - 1
ATZ
82%
11%
7%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 1
VIL
70%
16%
13%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
VIN
3 - 1
CAL
11%
15%
74%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
CAL
5 - 1
ESP
90%
8%
3%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ALB
1 - 4
CAL
18%
18%
65%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CAL
3 - 0
CLU
85%
10%
5%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | +1 |