Chert vs Albocacer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.4%
Win probability
3.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.8%
3.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CAT
0 - 6
CHE
38%
21%
41%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ALB
0 - 4
CHE
12%
16%
73%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CHE
2 - 0
CAN
87%
8%
4%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ORP
1 - 3
CHE
15%
18%
66%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CHE
4 - 2
ATZ
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Albocacer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
VIN
1 - 3
ALB
49%
22%
29%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ALB
0 - 4
CHE
12%
16%
73%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
VAL
4 - 0
ALB
81%
13%
7%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
ALB
2 - 3
BEN
17%
20%
63%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
PEN
4 - 1
ALB
93%
5%
2%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |