Chapineria vs Navas del Rey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
21.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapineria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
4 - 1
HOG
69%
17%
15%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 1
CHA
28%
22%
51%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
6 - 2
CDE
68%
17%
15%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 3
CHA
22%
21%
57%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 0
CDE
66%
17%
17%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Navas del Rey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
HOG
2 - 3
NDR
36%
22%
43%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
NDR
3 - 1
CDE
51%
20%
28%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
NDR
2 - 2
CAD
30%
21%
50%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SEV
4 - 0
NDR
73%
15%
12%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
NDR
2 - 0
ESA
40%
21%
39%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |