Chamartin Vergara vs Union Deportiva Jarama 2016 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chamartin Vergara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ATA
1 - 5
CHA
22%
20%
59%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 3
GSI
52%
20%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
FSA
0 - 5
CHA
16%
17%
67%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
JSB
2 - 3
CHA
59%
19%
23%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CHA
3 - 2
MSP
43%
21%
36%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Union Deportiva Jarama 2016
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
UNI
3 - 1
FTC
50%
20%
30%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CER
1 - 3
UNI
28%
20%
52%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 2
MOL
78%
13%
9%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 2
JAR
49%
20%
32%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ATA
2 - 5
UNI
31%
22%
47%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |