Chamartin Vergara vs Rupe Sahagun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
71.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+170%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chamartin Vergara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CAO
4 - 3
CHA
58%
19%
23%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 2
VDB
21%
19%
60%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SMA
3 - 3
CHA
37%
21%
42%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 4
CRG
71%
16%
13%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SBL
1 - 1
CHA
35%
23%
42%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rupe Sahagun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
RUP
3 - 3
TRN
61%
18%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
OSA
1 - 5
RUP
17%
19%
65%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
RUP
2 - 0
ADE
86%
9%
5%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
RUP
7 - 2
CDO
83%
11%
7%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CAO
1 - 2
RUP
37%
22%
42%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |