Chamartin Vergara vs Cerceda CF B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
47.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chamartin Vergara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 4
ESC
15%
18%
67%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
DEP
5 - 2
CHA
46%
21%
33%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
CHA
3 - 3
ESC
43%
22%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
ARU
3 - 2
CHA
79%
13%
8%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CHA
3 - 2
LSA
20%
19%
62%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +2 |