Chamartin Vergara vs Británico Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chamartin Vergara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 4
CHA
61%
19%
20%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 2
NUE
62%
19%
20%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LPV
2 - 3
CHA
55%
20%
25%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 0
CAN
66%
17%
17%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 7
RDM
54%
20%
26%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Británico Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
BMA
0 - 3
LIC
19%
19%
62%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ELI
3 - 2
BMA
31%
22%
48%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
BMA
0 - 5
ESC
33%
22%
45%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 2
BMA
45%
21%
34%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
BMA
5 - 2
ESC
57%
20%
23%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |