Chamartin Vergara vs Barajas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
8.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chamartin Vergara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
VRO
2 - 6
CHA
37%
22%
41%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
CSA
1 - 4
CHA
28%
21%
51%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 4
PER
57%
20%
24%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
AMS
5 - 0
CHA
23%
21%
57%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 0
ALM
51%
21%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Barajas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SHC
2 - 1
BAR
83%
11%
6%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
FTO
23%
23%
55%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
CDS
3 - 0
BAR
76%
15%
9%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
DOS
3 - 2
BAR
84%
10%
6%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 3
AVA
25%
24%
51%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |