Chamartin Vergara vs Alonso Cano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
15.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.7%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.3%
49.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
5.7%
3-4
2.2%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
3.5%
3-5
1.1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chamartin Vergara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
ACA
7 - 2
CHA
35%
21%
44%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 3
SSD
62%
17%
21%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
CFR
3 - 1
CHA
28%
20%
52%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CHA
3 - 0
JRR
80%
11%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
MSP
0 - 1
CHA
18%
18%
64%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alonso Cano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
LCB
2 - 6
ALC
28%
21%
52%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 2
FUN
17%
19%
64%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
PAS
5 - 3
ALC
58%
19%
23%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 2
VMS
57%
19%
24%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ACA
3 - 3
ALC
26%
21%
53%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |