Cerezo vs Frias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
42.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
BUR
4 - 2
CER
53%
20%
27%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
CER
1 - 2
TRE
31%
22%
48%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
BEB
4 - 0
CER
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
CER
2 - 2
ALB
30%
22%
49%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
MON
5 - 0
CER
49%
21%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Frias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
FRI
2 - 2
BEL
27%
21%
53%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ALC
5 - 2
FRI
82%
11%
7%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
FRI
1 - 4
FEL
30%
21%
50%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
FRI
1 - 1
CAP
33%
21%
45%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
BUR
2 - 4
FRI
42%
20%
37%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |