Cerezo vs Capiscol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
61.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CER
0 - 2
BUR
7%
15%
79%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
FRI
2 - 1
CER
54%
21%
26%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
BEL
3 - 1
CER
78%
14%
8%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
CER
0 - 2
ALC
9%
15%
75%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
ALB
3 - 0
CER
49%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Capiscol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CAP
2 - 0
ARA
17%
20%
63%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
INT
2 - 1
CAP
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAP
2 - 0
FRI
63%
19%
18%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CAP
3 - 3
RBG
32%
23%
45%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
BEL
2 - 0
CAP
49%
21%
30%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -2 |