Centenario vs UMECIT analysis


27	ELO	58
11.4%	Tilt	12.5%
26977º	General ELO ranking	1369º
22º	Country ELO ranking	12º
ELO win probability

12.2%

Centenario

22%

Draw

65.8%

UMECIT

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

12.2%

Win probability

0.62

Expected goals

4-0

0.1%

5-1

<0%

+4

0.1%

3-0

0.3%

4-1

0.1%

5-2

<0%

+3

0.5%

2-0

1.7%

3-1

0.6%

4-2

0.1%

+2

2.4%

1-0

5.5%

2-1

3.1%

3-2

0.6%

4-3

0.1%

+1

9.2%

22%

Draw

0-0

9%

1-1

9.9%

2-2

2.7%

3-3

0.3%

4-4

<0%

0

22%

65.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

12º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

5

10º

12º

22

1º

7º

6º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

6º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	36	36	1º	100%
2º	34	34	2º	100%
3º	32	32	3º	100%
4º	32	32	4º	100%
5º	31	31	5º	100%
6º	22	22	6º	100%
7º	21	21	7º	100%
8º	18	18	8º	100%
9º	13	16	9º	100%
10º	9	9	10º	100%
11º	8	8	11º	100%
12º	5	5	12º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Next round	0%	0%
Mid-table	100%	100%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Centenario

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
26 Mar. 2023	SMA 6 - 4 CEN 69% 18% 14%	28	39	11	0
19 Mar. 2023	CEN 2 - 3 PCF 17% 22% 61%	29	47	18	-1
11 Mar. 2023	AFC 1 - 0 CEN 76% 14% 10%	29	41	12	0
04 Mar. 2023	CEN 2 - 6 CDE 16% 21% 64%	31	47	16	-2
24 Feb. 2023	CEN 1 - 1 CDP 11% 18% 71%	31	52	21	0

Matches

UMECIT

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
26 Mar. 2023	TAU 0 - 1 UME 60% 26% 15%	56	74	18	0
24 Mar. 2023	CDE 2 - 3 UME 31% 28% 41%	56	46	10	0
19 Mar. 2023	SMA 2 - 3 UME 19% 26% 56%	56	39	17	0
18 Mar. 2023	SMI 0 - 0 UME 67% 22% 12%	55	71	16	+1
12 Mar. 2023	UME 4 - 0 COS 27% 28% 46%	53	68	15	+2