Centenario vs Tierra Firme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
15.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CEN
2 - 0
AZU
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 0
SMI
13%
21%
67%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 0
NYC
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 2
SUN
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 1
ARA
9%
18%
73%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Tierra Firme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VIS
0 - 0
TIE
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
TIE
3 - 4
PAV
21%
23%
56%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
IND
0 - 0
TIE
76%
16%
9%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
TIE
2 - 2
MSM
27%
25%
48%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
COS
3 - 2
TIE
77%
16%
8%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |