Centenario vs Tierra Firme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 1
VIS
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
SUN
3 - 2
CEN
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
CEN
0 - 0
SUN
30%
25%
44%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
CEN
4 - 1
MIL
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2015 |
MIL
2 - 1
CEN
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tierra Firme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
COL
1 - 2
TIE
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 1
TIE
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 2
TIE
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
TIE
1 - 5
MIL
27%
25%
48%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
TIE
4 - 3
CHI
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |