Centenario vs Tierra Firme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VIS
2 - 1
CEN
24%
25%
52%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
NYC
0 - 0
CEN
48%
25%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 0
SUN
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
COS
1 - 0
CEN
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
IND
1 - 1
CEN
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Tierra Firme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
TIE
0 - 1
COL
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
GEM
2 - 0
TIE
66%
21%
13%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
TIE
1 - 1
GEM
25%
24%
52%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
TIE
2 - 4
MSM
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
TIE
0 - 1
OES
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |