Centenario vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
66.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 0
NYC
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 2
SUN
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 1
ARA
9%
18%
73%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CHI
4 - 1
CEN
55%
26%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
VIS
0 - 1
CEN
38%
27%
36%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 0
SMI
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
TAU
1 - 1
SMI
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SMI
0 - 0
CHO
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
AZU
0 - 2
SMI
15%
19%
66%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
SMI
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |