Centenario vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MIL
2 - 1
CEN
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CEN
3 - 1
CHI
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
COS
3 - 1
CEN
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 0
RIO
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
VER
0 - 1
CEN
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
COL
1 - 2
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
MIL
54%
24%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
CHI
67%
20%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
COS
0 - 2
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 0
NAC
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |