Centenario vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
48.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ORI
2 - 2
CEN
30%
23%
47%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 1
SUN
21%
23%
56%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
MSM
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
COL
0 - 0
CEN
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
TIE
4 - 1
CEN
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 1
COL
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
TIE
1 - 1
NAC
33%
25%
41%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
MSM
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2014 |
ORI
3 - 4
NAC
19%
24%
58%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SUN
2 - 0
NAC
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |