Centenario vs River Plate David analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CEN
3 - 2
COL
34%
26%
41%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 0
CEN
67%
20%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 1
MIL
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 2
CEN
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 0
COS
28%
26%
47%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate David
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 3
NAC
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MIL
3 - 0
RIV
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
4 - 5
CHI
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
COS
2 - 0
RIV
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 2
RIO
21%
24%
56%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | -1 |