Centenario vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
61.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CEN
0 - 1
AZU
44%
27%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
AZU
1 - 0
CEN
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
CEN
1 - 2
OES
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SUN
1 - 2
CEN
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CEN
3 - 3
AZU
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CHO
2 - 1
IND
40%
28%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
IND
0 - 0
COS
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
AFC
2 - 1
IND
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
IND
1 - 1
SFF
46%
26%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
TAU
1 - 3
IND
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |