Centenario vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.5%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
37.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CEN
0 - 0
MSM
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
COS
2 - 1
CEN
52%
26%
22%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 1
OES
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
OES
0 - 1
CEN
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
IND
1 - 0
CEN
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
VIS
2 - 2
IND
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
IND
0 - 1
PAV
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
IND
2 - 1
CHI
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
COS
2 - 1
IND
39%
27%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
IND
1 - 0
CEN
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |