Centenario vs Colón C-3 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
55.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
10º
12º
12º
8
8º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 0
CEN
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CEN
0 - 1
CHA
11%
20%
69%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
CEN
0 - 5
SSM
11%
20%
69%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
UME
4 - 1
CEN
84%
11%
4%
|
29 | 56 | 27 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 3
CEN
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
COL
3 - 3
SSM
15%
21%
64%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 2
COL
61%
22%
18%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
COL
0 - 2
UME
14%
23%
64%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 1
COL
80%
14%
6%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
SSM
4 - 1
COL
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |