Centenario vs Colón C-3 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
TIE
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
NAC
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ORI
2 - 2
CEN
30%
23%
47%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 1
SUN
21%
23%
56%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
MSM
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ORI
1 - 2
COL
25%
22%
53%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
TIE
1 - 0
COL
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 1
COL
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
MSM
3 - 1
COL
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SUN
2 - 1
COL
69%
19%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |