Centenario vs Herrera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2017 |
PAV
4 - 1
CEN
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
CEN
4 - 3
PAV
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
COL
0 - 2
CEN
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 0
CEN
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 2
GEM
18%
25%
57%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
AZU
2 - 1
CHI
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
NYC
0 - 1
AZU
38%
25%
38%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2017 |
SUN
2 - 2
AZU
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CEN
2 - 0
AZU
42%
27%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
VIS
2 - 1
AZU
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |