Centenario vs Alianza II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
71.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
TFC
5 - 1
CEN
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ARA
5 - 0
CEN
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
CEN
0 - 0
UME
24%
25%
52%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 1
CEN
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SSM
5 - 2
CEN
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
AFC
5 - 0
ARA
61%
23%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 1
CDP
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
TFC
1 - 2
AFC
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 2
CDE
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 0
PCF
86%
11%
3%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |