CD Celmig vs Móstoles CF C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.2%
15.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Celmig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
MOS
5 - 4
CDC
39%
21%
41%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
CDC
3 - 2
NAV
33%
20%
47%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CDC
5 - 0
PEA
64%
17%
19%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 4
VIL
13%
16%
71%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
TGA
0 - 6
CDC
31%
20%
49%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Móstoles CF C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
MOS
2 - 7
VIL
9%
14%
77%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
TGA
0 - 6
MOS
49%
20%
31%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
MOS
1 - 2
ESC
50%
20%
30%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CDE
3 - 0
MOS
79%
13%
8%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MOS
1 - 4
CIN
38%
22%
41%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |