CD Celmig vs La Mutual Juan XXIII analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
43.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+93%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Celmig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CDC
1 - 2
LAG
37%
23%
40%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SPL
1 - 0
CDC
74%
15%
11%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CDC
2 - 1
ESA
54%
21%
24%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CDC
1 - 2
URU
47%
23%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CDC
6 - 0
NSR
51%
22%
28%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
La Mutual Juan XXIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
RYB
4 - 2
LMJ
31%
22%
47%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
LMJ
5 - 2
ALB
53%
22%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
JLC
2 - 2
LMJ
35%
23%
43%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
LMJ
5 - 1
HOG
64%
19%
17%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
POR
3 - 2
LMJ
31%
23%
46%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |