Cayón B vs Velarde CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
64.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 1
CAY
65%
20%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CAY
3 - 10
RIN
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -3 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PON
2 - 2
CAY
49%
24%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CAY
1 - 3
NOJ
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 2
CAY
54%
24%
22%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Velarde CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 0
NUE
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SIN
4 - 5
VEL
37%
23%
40%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
VEL
3 - 0
BUE
75%
15%
9%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
VEL
42%
24%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VEL
2 - 0
MIN
87%
10%
4%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | +1 |