Cayón B vs Sámano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
58.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SOL
1 - 1
CAY
63%
20%
18%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
CAY
4 - 0
CDV
65%
19%
16%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 0
CAY
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
CAY
3 - 4
SDS
32%
24%
44%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
GIM
5 - 0
CAY
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 1
REV
47%
23%
30%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SDT
0 - 1
SAM
42%
23%
34%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 0
TEX
55%
22%
23%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
MIN
0 - 1
SAM
20%
21%
58%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SAM
8 - 0
CAR
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |