Castuera Subastacar B vs Valdecaballeros A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera Subastacar B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CDT
1 - 1
CAS
27%
20%
53%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 0
SIR
77%
13%
10%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SIR
3 - 3
CAS
20%
19%
61%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
5 - 1
CAS
84%
10%
6%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 4
CAS
18%
19%
63%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Valdecaballeros A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 1
SBA
8%
17%
76%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 0
VAL
52%
20%
28%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
PUE
3 - 1
VAL
34%
21%
45%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
VAL
3 - 1
ELA
30%
24%
46%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SBA
4 - 0
VAL
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |