Castuera Subastacar B vs Sporting Malpartida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
32.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera Subastacar B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
QUI
3 - 0
CAS
47%
21%
32%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
FMO
52%
20%
28%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 5
CAS
14%
17%
70%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CAS
4 - 3
PUE
64%
18%
18%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
PGA
2 - 1
CAS
17%
17%
66%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Sporting Malpartida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
SMA
5 - 1
SBA
68%
18%
14%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 3
SMA
22%
21%
57%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SMA
1 - 1
MON
37%
21%
42%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
SMA
1 - 1
QUI
26%
22%
52%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
FMO
4 - 5
SMA
74%
15%
12%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |