Castuera Subastacar B vs Sporting Malpartida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
23.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera Subastacar B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 2
SIR
38%
22%
41%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 5
CAS
22%
20%
58%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 0
CAS
70%
16%
14%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
PUE
3 - 3
CAS
26%
21%
53%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
5 - 1
ELA
53%
21%
26%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Sporting Malpartida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
SMA
2 - 0
CAB
46%
21%
33%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SIR
3 - 1
SMA
63%
18%
19%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
SMA
7 - 1
CAS
68%
17%
15%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 2
SMA
24%
20%
56%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SMA
4 - 3
PUE
61%
19%
20%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |